Wanting a Winner in the Blame Stakes

Wanting a Winner in the Blame Stakes

 

If the quality of the horses entered the fault of $ 275,000 on Saturday (G3) in Churchill Downs is an indication, the 1,1/8 miles for older horses will soon be updated to the degree of grade 2. Frankly, it has grade 1 legs with fields with fields smaller than the stellar group scheduled to compete for this year.

You know it is a deep race when the winner of 2024 Kentucky Derby (G1) #4 Mystik then (4-1) It is the third option in the morning line. The Son Of Goldents Has Gone Winles in Five Starts Since Beating Future Champion Sierra Leone and Any Saudi Cup (G1) Winner Forever Young in A Thrilling Run for The Roses, But He Showed Signs Of Return To Form In The 1/16-Mile Lake Nose to 2023 Pennsylvania Derby (G1) Winner of the Saudi Crown while taking eight lengths from the rest.

Then, Mystik has scored two or his three race winch and the shoulder appreciates the return to Louisville’s famous oval because of the fault. He leaves a quick half -mile training on this track last Saturday and guarantees respect. But Beyer’s speed figure has been executed as fast as #7 more wanted (7-2), the second option in the morning and horse line to win in my opinion.

Conditioned by the two -time coach awarded the Eclipse Brad Cox, Most Wanced began his career on a run last June. He won his first four openings in succession, including Ellis Park Derby and Oklahoma Derby (G3). Then he finished his three -year year with a game finalist at Clark (G2), defeated less than one length by grade 1 winner, Roll N Roll, while taking 3 1/4 lengths of promotion of Future Hold Cup.

The most wanted is 0 by 2 this year, but it is working better than ever. In the 1/16 miles (G3) Challenger in Tampa Bay Downs, he finished the second by 1 1/4 long against Skippylongstocking, who won the Hollywood Gold Cup (G2) last week. The majority of those wanted extracted 14 lengths 3/4 of the third finalist and obtained a speed of 102 Beyer higher than the best Mystik Dan race.

Then, in the Alyseba of 1/16 of Mile (G2) in Churchill Downs, most wanted the rhythm before staying second for 1 1/2 length against 2023 two -year fierce male champions. The majority of those wanted 2 3/4 lengths ahead of the Minashaft winner (G3) #6 Hall of Fame (8-1), who is back because of the fault, and obtained the best of 105 Beyer of his career.

Most Wanted’s Alyseba performance was excellent. After establishing fractions of: 24.39 and: 48.31, he opened his third quarter of mile at: 22.80 and his last five sixteen of one mile at: 29.79 through the GPS Equibase results table. To pursue down, the fierceness had to register 1 1/16 miles in the 1: 40.66 track record.

In the six races of his route, Most Wanced has established the rhythm or pressed the tempo in second place, so the early speed is one of his greatest assets. That should be an advantage as a rival of the main rhythm in guilt, it is expected that the best actor #5 (30-1), scratch and work in a Sunday assignment, optional claimant in Churchill Downs for Marcus Hersh of the Daily racing form.

The most wanted is also entered the optional claimer of the Sunday assignment, and according to Hersh, coach Brad Cox is not sure whether most wishes will run there or in guilt. If most of the dear options for the easiest place on Sunday, I will see it as a practical blockade to win. But I am optimistic that it will stay in the qualified bets on Saturday and will conquer all newcomers.

My second option is the Hall of Fame, who finished 2 3/4 of more wanted lengths in the Alyseba. He did not seem completely comfortable running in a pocket along the interior, but he never stirred to keep third place for 2 1/2 length over the winner of Santa Anita H. (G1) closed.

The previous form of the Hall of Fame was simply better. Two begin, he used a clear rhythm rhythm trip to finish second at the New Orleans Classic (G2), two lengths arriving home ahead of the Breeders ‘winner’ Cup Classic (G1) Sierra Leone while winning a 106 Beyer. And three beginnings back, won the Mianeofft (G3) by a head over Komorebino Odoid, who from the Steve Sexton mile (G3).

If the Hall of Fame can avoid being buried in traffic again in guilt, I think it will produce one more effort with its attempt at New Orleans and take home the second place with guilt.

I am a little less interested in supporting #9 post time (3-1), the favorite of the morning line in guilt. Although he has worked admirable at the level of grade 1, finishing second in the earth mile of the Breeders Cup (G1), second in the Metropolitan H. (G1), and third in Whitney (G1), the five victories of their bets have arrived, Inde-Turno, Inte -urn or Quar, Quar, Wash, Lave, Lave, Seven Sprints. I wonder if 1 1/8 miles is a little further than the later time really wants to run.

Selections

1st: The most wanted
2nd: Hall of fame
3rd: Mystik then

Now is your turn! Who do you like with guilt?

Why to prove your disability skills against unlocking partners of the winners? Look at the page of the Unlocking Winners Contest: There is a new challenge every week! (Consider: the oldest tickets of the contest can be found here).

 

J. Keeler Johnson (also known as “Keelerman”) is a writer, cameraman, voice actor, handicapper and horsepower enthusiast. A great admirer of the history of the races, considers that Dr. Fager is the best racing horse ever produced in the United States, but has Zenyatta as his favorite of all time.