New York City Predicted Record Tourism. Then Came Trump.

New York City is expected to welcome 400,000 less tourists this year that did so in 2024, a decrease mainly driven by a negative feeling towards the United States among foreign travelers who have reconsidered their vacations.

The city’s tourism agency, tourism and conventions of New York City, had entered 2025 with optimism after the Coronavirus pandemic interrupted the trip five years ago and had projected a complete recovery this year with a record number of visits.

But the agency has now reviewed twice its initial prognosis of 67.6 million visitors, international and national, since President Trump declared a commercial war against the allies, he reflected on the annexation of other countries and severely intensified the Astodning tourists.

The last forecast, which will be launched on Thursday, now estimates that 64.1 million tourists will visit the city. That includes 400,000 national travelers more than last year, but 800,000 less foreign travelers.

The new forecast sees 12.1 million international travelers, a drop of 17 percent of the projections of more than 2025. The decrease has been directed by a fall in tourists in Canada, who have boycuted trips to the United States over Trump’s threat to make his country the 51st US state.

International trips to the United States from other parts of the world have remained largely until now, but New York City depends on Canadian tourists. Travel analysts fear that continued economic uncertainty could be thrown back from travel plans from the rest of the world.

While many more national travelers visit New York City than international, foreign visitors tend to stay longer and spend more. Last year, tourists spent $ 51 billion in New York City, with approximately half of foreign travelers. Spending this year now is forecast that will decrease to $ 4 billion.

Julie Coker, head of Tourism and Conventions of New York City, said his agency was marketing the city in foreign countries under a campaign entitled “With Love + Liberty, New York City.”

The agency, a lack of profit that is partial founded by the city, the Truss to know, said: “That New York City remains the most welcoming, inclusive and diverse city of the world.”

Tourism is a vital pillar of the economy of New York City. The industry helps maintain numerous sectors, including Broadway, museums and restaurants, and used more than 260,000 people.

So far this year, around 117,000 Pagengers less have arrived at Kennedy International Airport and Newark Liberty International Airport compared to the same period in 2024, according to an analysis or passenger entry analysis by New York Times.

Hotel occupation rates in New York City have remained relatively flat this year, but reservations for the next summer months, a maximum travel season in the city, have not kept the pace last year, according to Costa, a real estate analysis company.

John Fitzpatrick, owner of two hotels in Manhattan, said he had felt extremely positive about tourism in the city at the end of 2024, and the reserves on their properties had the few months stronger months since the pandemic.

But now, he said, reserves have dropped approximately 5 percent from last year. Their hotels were lost their April forecast, reserves for May are below the projections and reserves in the coming months are not as robust as expected.

“Just when we get up again, they demolish us again,” said Fitzpatrick. “It’s worrying.”

In conversations with recent trips of the duration of Europeans to Ireland, where he also has a hotel, Mr. Fitzpatrick said Hed heard that they are not only upset by rates, but also fear being arrested by immigration authorities in the United States.

The talk had been one of the most aggressive tactics of the border authorities of the United States in Ports of Entry, including the arrest of two German tourists for four weeks, he said.

“You want to go where you feel welcome,” said Fitzpatrick.

Some tourist places in New York City have begun to inform a decrease in the client. The Observatory of the Empire state building said he saw a 4.6 percent decrease in people in the first three months of the year compared to last year, adjusting the change in this year’s Easter holidays. About 50 percent or their visitors are abroad.

Topview Sightseeing, which operates a fleet or two -story buses in Manhattan, has seen a decrease of 20 to 25 percent in customers. The company’s owner, Asen Kostadinov, said the fall began about a year ago and has worsened in 2025, with a remarkable decrease in foreign travelers.

Mr. Kostadinov said that travelers seem to be more aware of the budget, reserving more and more low -cost packages with their company. He has also seen an increase in the business in his bicycle rental company near Central Park and his tours of Cruise Statue of Liberty Cruise, which charge less than bus trips. In comparison, businesses in their tourist bus company in London have increased this year, he said.

As a result of slower businesses in New York City and economic uncertainty, Kostadinov said he has let some corporate employees cut, cut the bus drivers and postponed planned investments, including a new bus deposit.

“There is no doubt that tariffs are causing some anti -American kind or feeling,” Kostadinov said. “I am an immigrant and I love the United States, but at the end of the day, we don’t want to make enemies for no reason.”