Will an atmospheric river event end Florida’s fire season?
- Weather
- May 10, 2025

A low slow movement area will help deliver several inch rain in the state of the sun during the weekend and until next week.
The residents of the Sunshine state, who have been experiencing drought conditions and a longer duration of forest fire threats in spring, can soon obtain a temporary respite, as an event of the Atmospheric River to offer the strongest precipitation from the winter.
The forecast models show generalized rains, with a total ranging from around an inch in the less affected areas to possibly more than one foot in the communities that see repeated rounds of thunderstorms.
While atmospheric rivers are often associated with winter storms on the west coast, the phenomenon can occur in other parts of the United States and throughout the world that deep tropical humidity is involved.

Synoptic Scenario Map
(Fox climate)
The Fox forecast center says that the system responsible for this increase in precipitation is a low pressure system that has been cut in the main stream current, which makes it slow and capable of producing prolonged rain.
“When low pressure is stacked vertically from the floor, to the top of the troposphere, it is not not that it is not so fast because nothing is pushing. That is what we have. Gulf and the Caribbean either,” said Fox Weather Bob Van Dillen meteorologist.
Florida won to be the only state impacted, since a wide strip of strong rainfall is expected to extend from Louisiana to Las Carolinas, which will last in the first half of the next work week.
“It accumulates in intensity, and it will be worse, later, as we spend the day until Sunday and Monday,” said Van Dillen.

Florida rain forecast
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But for the state of the sun, rain could help suppress the activity of forest fires, which is considered the peak of the fire season.
The majority of rainflorids in Florida currently vary from 2 to 6 inches, with 96% of the state considered unusually dry and 25% experiencing severe drought conditions, according to the last drought monitor.

Florida drought monitor or 5/9/2025
(Fox climate)
The areas that are expected to receive the greatest rain are found along the I-10 corridor, from Pensacola to Tallahassee and Jacksonville.
In contrast, the least amount of rain to the south of the I-4 corridor in southern Florida is expected.
Unfortunately, that is where most fires have bones, with Miami-Dade Fire Rescue recently responding to a great grass fire that burns between Florida City and Florida Keys.
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So, although the persistent rain will be good news, the areas in the most desperate way can see the slightest relief.
And, of course, any storm that is formed has the potential to cause sudden floods and rays, which can, in some cases, cause new fires.
Even so, the developing atmospheric river is, in general, just what the doctor ordered and will serve as a respite until the wet station of the State launches next month or so.